Housing starts on a graph, or more evidence that we’re due for a new paradigm
Posted May 26, 2009 at 3:26PM
Wow. And note that the steep decline in new housing construction started in early 2006, well before the recession set in almost two years later. Well, I guess we already knew that.
What I didn't know before I tracked down this graph (as reported by Agora Financial's web forecast manager Ian Mathias) was that "Housing starts in April fell 12.8%, to an annual rate of 458,000, the worst since at least 1959, when the government started keeping track. Applications for building permits fell to a record low as well."
The mention of 1959 is intriguing, because that era was the beginning of suburban sprawl, and just before the Interstate Highway System and a decade or more of high-profile urban chaos brought it to full flower. That was the dawn of a new paradigm of development in this country.
Are we at another dawn of another paradigm? The signs, which I have been reporting for a while (e.g., here) are manifest. Mathieu Helie certainly thinks so. I am increasingly persuaded to agree.